| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS | 第6-7页 |
| ABSTRACT | 第7页 |
| 摘要 | 第8-12页 |
| LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS | 第12-15页 |
| Chapter One Introduction | 第15-21页 |
| 1.1 Contextual Background | 第15-17页 |
| 1.2 Problem Statement | 第17-18页 |
| 1.3 Research Objectives | 第18-19页 |
| 1.3.1 Delimitation and Scope of the Study | 第18页 |
| 1.3.2 Significance of the Study | 第18-19页 |
| 1.4 Research Methodology | 第19页 |
| 1.5 Structure of the Thesis | 第19-20页 |
| 1.6 Limitations of the Study | 第20-21页 |
| Chapter Two Literature Review | 第21-35页 |
| 2.1 Introduction of the Chapter | 第21页 |
| 2.2 A Brief Background of Economic Growth Theory | 第21-26页 |
| 2.2.1 Harrod-Domar Growth Model | 第22-23页 |
| 2.2.2 Traditional Neoclassical Growth Theory | 第23-24页 |
| 2.2.3 The Endogenous Growth Model | 第24页 |
| 2.2.4 Solow’s Neoclassical Economic Growth Theory | 第24-26页 |
| 2.2.5 Strengths of Solow’s Neoclassical Growth Model | 第26页 |
| 2.2.6 Criticisms of Solow’s Neoclassical Growth Model | 第26页 |
| 2.3 Neoclassical Growth Theory and International Trade | 第26-28页 |
| 2.4 Relationship between Foreign Trade and Economic Growth | 第28-29页 |
| 2.5 Empirical Findings Literature | 第29-33页 |
| 2.6 Chapter Summary, | 第33-35页 |
| Chapter Three Overview of Malawi Foreign Trade and Economic Growth | 第35-49页 |
| 3.1 Introduction of the Chapter | 第35页 |
| 3.2 Trends of Malawi Foreign Trade | 第35-46页 |
| 3.2.1 Malawi Foreign Trade in After Independence (1964-2016) | 第37-38页 |
| 3.2.2 Malawi Trade Balance | 第38-40页 |
| 3.2.3 Malawi’s Foreign Trade Partners and Trade Agreements | 第40-41页 |
| 3.2.4 Malawi Economy | 第41-46页 |
| 3.3 Justification on Malawi Foreign Trade and Economic Growth | 第46-49页 |
| Chapter Four Research Methodology and Econometric Estimation Results and Discussion | 第49-65页 |
| 4.1 Introductionof the Chapter | 第49页 |
| 4.2 Data Collection; Sources and Templates | 第49-52页 |
| 4.2.1 Sample Technique | 第49-50页 |
| 4.2.2 Model specification and description of variables | 第50-51页 |
| 4.2.3 Procedure for the Estimation for the Neoclassical Growth Model | 第51-52页 |
| 4.2.4 Expected Signs for the Exports and Imports Coefficients | 第52页 |
| 4.3 A Summary of the Diagnostic Tests for OLS Regression | 第52-53页 |
| 4.3.1 Test for Unit roots (Augmented Dickey Fuller) | 第52-53页 |
| 4.3.2 Test for Heteroskedasticity | 第53页 |
| 4.3.3 Test for Normality | 第53页 |
| 4.3.4 Test for Cointegration | 第53页 |
| 4.4 Regression Diagnostic | 第53-59页 |
| 4.4.1 Serial Correlation Test | 第53-54页 |
| 4.4.2 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test | 第54-57页 |
| 4.4.3 Test for Heteroskedasticity | 第57页 |
| 4.4.4 Test for Normality of the Residuals | 第57-58页 |
| 4.4.5 Johansen Test for Cointegration | 第58-59页 |
| 4.5 Estimation of the Regression Equation and Interpretation of Results | 第59-60页 |
| 4.6 Discussion on the Estimated Regression Results | 第60-63页 |
| 4.6.1 F-Statistic | 第60页 |
| 4.6.2 R-Squared (R2) | 第60-61页 |
| 4.6.3 Population (Labor Force) Coefficient | 第61页 |
| 4.6.4 Gross Capital Formation (Capital) Coefficient | 第61-62页 |
| 4.6.5 Export Coefficient | 第62页 |
| 4.6.6 Import Coefficient | 第62-63页 |
| 4.6.7 The Constant Term | 第63页 |
| 4.7 Chapter Summary | 第63-65页 |
| Chapter Five Conclusion and Recommendations | 第65-69页 |
| 5.1 Summary and Conclusion | 第65-66页 |
| 5.2 Recommendations | 第66-68页 |
| 5.3 Areas for Further Research | 第68-69页 |
| REFERENCES | 第69-78页 |
