| 摘要 | 第5-7页 |
| Abstract | 第7页 |
| 1. Introduction | 第11-13页 |
| 2. Literature review | 第13-18页 |
| 2.1 Model types used in household vehicle ownership analysis | 第13-14页 |
| 2.2 Determinants of individual household vehicle ownership | 第14-18页 |
| 3. Data sources and descriptive statistics | 第18-31页 |
| 3.1 Data sources:China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) survey | 第18-19页 |
| 3.2 Model specification: variable choice and descriptive statistics | 第19-31页 |
| 4. Model structure | 第31-39页 |
| 4.1 Disaggregate models of household vehicle ownership | 第31页 |
| 4.2 Basic random utility theory: a multinomial logit (MNL) model | 第31-33页 |
| 4.3 Ordered response model: ordered logit (ORL) model | 第33-35页 |
| 4.4 Explanation of parameters and marginal probability effect | 第35-37页 |
| 4.5 Goodness-of-fit testing | 第37-39页 |
| 5. Results and discussion | 第39-53页 |
| 5.1 Model estimation results | 第39-50页 |
| 5.2 Average marginal probability effect analysis | 第50-53页 |
| 6. Additional considerations | 第53-58页 |
| Conclusions | 第58-61页 |
| Reference | 第61-64页 |
| 附录A 中文摘要 | 第64-76页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第76页 |
