| 摘要 | 第4-8页 |
| Abstract | 第8页 |
| Chapter 1 Introduction | 第11-26页 |
| 1.1 The Research Background | 第11-13页 |
| 1.1.1 Background of the Subject | 第11-13页 |
| 1.1.2 Introduction of the Problem | 第13页 |
| 1.2 The Research Purpose | 第13-14页 |
| 1.3 Review of the Current Situation of Research | 第14-18页 |
| 1.3.1 Current Situation of Research Abroad | 第14-15页 |
| 1.3.2 Current Situation of Research in China | 第15-16页 |
| 1.3.3 Current Situation of Research in Russia | 第16-17页 |
| 1.3.4 Summary of the Current Situation of Research | 第17-18页 |
| 1.4 Theoretical Basis | 第18-22页 |
| 1.4.1 International trade theories | 第18-19页 |
| 1.4.2 Free trade theories | 第19-21页 |
| 1.4.3 Protectionism | 第21-22页 |
| 1.4.4 Trade agreement theories | 第22页 |
| 1.5 Methodology | 第22-24页 |
| 1.6 Research Contents | 第24-26页 |
| Chapter 2 Analysis of Russian tariff concessions effect to Russian automotivemarket development | 第26-42页 |
| 2.1 Analysis of Russian automotive production | 第26-29页 |
| 2.1.1 Analysis of the dynamics of Russian automotive production | 第26-27页 |
| 2.1.2 Analysis of the structure of Russian automotive production | 第27-29页 |
| 2.2 Analysis of Russian automotive market | 第29-35页 |
| 2.2.1 Analysis of the dynamics of automotive sales in Russia | 第29-31页 |
| 2.2.2 Analysis of the structure of automotive sales in Russia | 第31-35页 |
| 2.3 Analysis of automotive import to Russia: the dynamics and structure | 第35-38页 |
| 2.3.1 Analysis of the dynamics of automotive import to Russia | 第35-36页 |
| 2.3.2 Analysis of the structure of automotive import to Russia | 第36-38页 |
| 2.4 Analysis of the dynamics of Russian tariff rate for automotive products | 第38-41页 |
| 2.5 Chapter summary | 第41-42页 |
| Chapter 3 Analysis of Russian tariff concessions effect to Sino-Russian automotivetrade | 第42-57页 |
| 3.1 Analysis of the dynamics of Sino-Russian automotive trade | 第42-44页 |
| 3.2 Analysis of Sino-Russian automotive trade structure | 第44-46页 |
| 3.3 Chinese automotive companies in Russian automotive market | 第46-48页 |
| 3.4 Regression and correlation analysis of the factors that may cause changes inChinese automotive import to Russia | 第48-56页 |
| 3.4.1 Preconditions of the regression analysis | 第48-50页 |
| 3.4.2 Regression and correlation analysis for Chinese import of commercialvehicles to Russia | 第50-53页 |
| 3.4.3 Regression and correlation analysis of Chinese import of passenger cars toRussia | 第53-56页 |
| 3.5 Chapter summary | 第56-57页 |
| Chapter 4 Prospects of Sino-Russian automotive trade development | 第57-74页 |
| 4.1 Forecasting analysis of the prospects of Sino-Russian automotive trade | 第57-71页 |
| 4.1.1 Preconditions of the forecasting analysis | 第57页 |
| 4.1.2 Forecasting analysis based on the multiple regression models | 第57-61页 |
| 4.1.3 Forecasting method based on the moving average analysis | 第61-64页 |
| 4.1.4 Forecasting method based on the weighted moving averages analysis | 第64-67页 |
| 4.1.5 Forecasting method based on the exponential smoothing analysis | 第67-69页 |
| 4.1.6 Calculation of the forecast errors | 第69-71页 |
| 4.2 Recommendations for a future development of Sino-Russian automotivecooperation | 第71-73页 |
| 4.3 Chapter summary | 第73-74页 |
| Conclusions | 第74-76页 |
| References | 第76-81页 |
| Acknowledgements | 第81-82页 |
| Resume | 第82页 |
