| ABSTRACT | 第2-5页 |
| 摘要 | 第6-14页 |
| LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS | 第14-15页 |
| 1 INTRODUCTION | 第15-28页 |
| 1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY | 第15-16页 |
| 1.2 PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION | 第16-17页 |
| 1.3 OBJECTIVES AND MOTIVATION OF THE STUDY | 第17-18页 |
| 1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY | 第18页 |
| 1.5 RESEARCH AREAS AND STRUCTURE | 第18-22页 |
| 1.5.1 Research Areas | 第18-19页 |
| 1.5.2 Structure of the Thesis | 第19-22页 |
| 1.6 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY-ESTIMATION METHOD | 第22-24页 |
| 1.7 INNOVATIONS AND WEAKNESSES | 第24-28页 |
| 1.7.1 Research Innovations | 第24-26页 |
| 1.7.2 Research Weaknesses and Constraints | 第26-28页 |
| 2 LITERATURE REVIEW | 第28-46页 |
| 2.1 ANALYSIS ON TRADE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH | 第28-34页 |
| 2.1.1 Trade Policy Promotes Innovation and Competition | 第31-32页 |
| 2.1.2 Trade Growth by Economic Integration | 第32-33页 |
| 2.1.3 Brief literature on Comparative Advantage | 第33-34页 |
| 2.2 TRADE AS AN ENGINE OF GROWTH | 第34-39页 |
| 2.2.1 Effect of terror on trade and economic growth | 第35-37页 |
| 2.2.2 Importance of Endowment to trade and Economic growth | 第37-39页 |
| 2.3 LITERATURE ON THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC COOPERATION ON TRADEAND GROWTH | 第39-44页 |
| 2.3.1 Background of Aid for Trade Leading Growth | 第40-44页 |
| 2.3.2 General Criticisms on the Existing Literature and Approach with Current Situation | 第44页 |
| 2.4 SUMMARY | 第44-46页 |
| 3 THEORETICAL REVIEW AND METHODOLOGY | 第46-66页 |
| 3.1 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION-TRADE-ECONOMIC GROWTH | 第46-50页 |
| 3.1.1 Theory of foreign trade multiplier | 第46-47页 |
| 3.1.2 Complete Specialisation and Multilateral Resistance to Trade-A Review | 第47-50页 |
| 3.2 TRADE THEORIES LEADING TO CHINA-COMESATRADE DETERMINANT | 第50-64页 |
| 3.2.1 Linkage to Gravity Modelling | 第50-53页 |
| 3.2.2 Augmenting the Trade Model | 第53-57页 |
| 3.2.3 Augmenting the Solow Model | 第57-62页 |
| 3.2.4 Model Specification for the Growth Model | 第62-64页 |
| 3.3 SUMMARY | 第64-66页 |
| 4 OVERVIEW OF COMESA AND TRADE PATTERN OF CHINA WITHCOMESA | 第66-94页 |
| 4.1 INTRODUCTION TO COMESA | 第66-74页 |
| 4.1.1 Establishment of COMESA | 第66-67页 |
| 4.1.2 Economic Growth of COMESA | 第67-72页 |
| 4.1.3 Potential Attraction of China in COMESA | 第72-74页 |
| 4.2 CHINA'S TRADE WITH COMESA IN COMMUNAL GROUND | 第74-77页 |
| 4.2.1 COMESA and China Bilateral Ties | 第74-75页 |
| 4.2.2 Snap Shot of Win-Win Policy from Trade to Economic Growth | 第75-77页 |
| 4.3 TRADE BETWEEN CHINA AND COMESA AND CHINA'S AID FOR TRADE | 第77-92页 |
| 4.3.1 Trade between China and COMESA | 第77-82页 |
| 4.3.2 China's Aid for Trade to COMESA | 第82-92页 |
| 4.4 SUMMARY | 第92-94页 |
| 5 IMPLICATIONS OF CHINA ON COMESA'S TRADE DEVELOPMENT | 第94-116页 |
| 5.1 VARIABLES DEFINITION AND MEASUREMENT | 第94-96页 |
| 5.2 ANALYSES AND RESULTS | 第96-106页 |
| 5.2.1 China's Trade Impact on COMESA | 第97-98页 |
| 5.2.2 Effects of AID and Natural Resources on COMESA Trade | 第98-102页 |
| 5.2.3 Impacts of Terror Attacks on COMESA Trade | 第102-103页 |
| 5.2.4 Openness, Similarity Index and Relative Factor Endowment | 第103-105页 |
| 5.2.5 Income and Distance | 第105-106页 |
| 5.2.6 Contiguity, Colonial and Cultural Affiliation | 第106页 |
| 5.3 TREND OF CHINA'S TRADE IMPACT ON COMESA | 第106-109页 |
| 5.4 TERROR EFFECT ON CHINA'S TRADE WITH COMESA,OTHERS | 第109-114页 |
| 5.5 SUMMARY | 第114-116页 |
| 6 INFLUENCES OF CHINA-COMESA TRADE ON COMESA'S ECONOMY | 第116-132页 |
| 6.1 OVERALL IMPACT OF BILATERAL TRADE OF COMESA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH | 第116-120页 |
| 6.1.1 The Impact of Trade and Terror on COMESA Economic Growth | 第117-119页 |
| 6.1.2 Sundry Economic Growth Determinant for COMESA | 第119-120页 |
| 6.2 CHINA-COMESA TRADE OPENNESS:ITS CONTRIBUTION TO COMESA | 第120-123页 |
| 6.3 FURTHER ANALYSES WITH VAR MODEL | 第123-129页 |
| 6.3.1 Lag Selection Criteria | 第123-124页 |
| 6.3.2 Impact of trade on COMESA Countries-Further Analyses | 第124-129页 |
| 6.4 SUMMARY | 第129-132页 |
| 7 CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS | 第132-142页 |
| 7.1 CONCLUSION | 第132-136页 |
| 7.2 POLICY IMPLICATIONS | 第136-140页 |
| 7.2.1 Policy Implications on Domestic Policies and Institutions | 第136-137页 |
| 7.2.2 Policy Implications on The Need for Infrastructure Development | 第137-138页 |
| 7.2.3 Policy Implications on Booming Export Market in The Region | 第138-139页 |
| 7.2.4 Policy Implications on Deepening Ties with China | 第139-140页 |
| 7.3 SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTIGATION | 第140-142页 |
| APPENDIX | 第142-163页 |
| BIBLIOGRAPHY | 第163-173页 |
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENT | 第173-175页 |
