| 摘要 | 第4-5页 |
| Abstract | 第5页 |
| 1. Introduction | 第6-13页 |
| 1.1 Research background | 第6-8页 |
| 1.2 Main contents | 第8-10页 |
| 1.3 Research framework | 第10-12页 |
| 1.4 Research innovations and contributions | 第12-13页 |
| 2. Theoretical Analysis | 第13-32页 |
| 2.1 Monetary policy basic rules | 第13-17页 |
| 2.2 Monetary policy transmission mechanism and its intermediate targets | 第17-20页 |
| 2.3 Commonly used monetary policy rules | 第20-24页 |
| 2.4 The application of Taylor rules in monetary policy | 第24-32页 |
| 3. China's monetary policy and applicability analysis of Taylor rule | 第32-40页 |
| 3.1 Development history of monetary policy and interest rate liberalization in China | 第32-35页 |
| 3.2 Monetary policy transmission mechanism in China | 第35-37页 |
| 3.3 Analysis on limitations of money supply as intermediate target | 第37-40页 |
| 4. Literature Review | 第40-47页 |
| 4.1 Foreign literature review | 第40-43页 |
| 4.2 Domestic literature review | 第43-47页 |
| 5. Research design | 第47-56页 |
| 5.1 Variables selection and data specification and processing | 第47-51页 |
| 5.2 Empirical test methods and sample interval selection | 第51-52页 |
| 5.3 Modeling | 第52-56页 |
| 6. Empirical analysis | 第56-65页 |
| 6.1 Test on basic Taylor rule model | 第56-57页 |
| 6.2 Test on forward-looking Taylor rule model | 第57-58页 |
| 6.3 Forward-looking Taylor rule model based on interest rate smoothing | 第58-59页 |
| 6.4 Model considering the growth rate of the money supply | 第59-60页 |
| 6.5 Model reflecting the impact of exchange rate in an open economy | 第60-62页 |
| 6.6 Model considering the impact of asset prices (CGG model) | 第62-65页 |
| 7. Conclusions and policy suggestions | 第65-68页 |
| 7.1 Conclusions | 第65-66页 |
| 7.2 Policy suggestions | 第66-68页 |
| References | 第68-72页 |
| Appendix | 第72-74页 |
| Thanks | 第74-75页 |
