中文摘要 | 第1-6页 |
ABSTRACT | 第6-13页 |
前言 | 第13-15页 |
Ⅰ. Why is the reform to cover funding gap necessary and urgent | 第15-41页 |
1. China's aging population | 第16-24页 |
·Irreversible trend with inereasing old-age dependency ratio | 第17-20页 |
·Lower fertility rate and One-Child policy | 第18-19页 |
·Longer life expectaney | 第19页 |
·Increasing old-age dependency ratio | 第19-20页 |
·Grows old rapidly with large base number before grows rich | 第20-24页 |
·Giant base number and accelerating growth | 第20-21页 |
·Large amount of Oldest-old | 第21-22页 |
·Grows old before grows rich | 第22-24页 |
2. Overview of China's pension system and its funding gap | 第24-41页 |
·How is China's pension system designed? | 第24-28页 |
·Basic pension plan | 第25-26页 |
·Mandatory individual account | 第26页 |
·Enterprise annuity program and individual savings plan | 第26-27页 |
·National social sccurty fund | 第27-28页 |
·How serious is the funding gap issue | 第28-29页 |
·Why it cannot be solved without reform | 第29-37页 |
·What causes the funding gap in the context of aging population | 第30-32页 |
·What other factors worsen the funding gap | 第32-37页 |
·Literature review:scholars proposals to solve the problems | 第37-41页 |
·Parametric reform | 第38-39页 |
·Cost of the structural transition | 第39-41页 |
Ⅱ. Can the funding gap be covered | 第41-98页 |
3. Case Study:How to implement the parametric reform in Japan and South Korea | 第41-72页 |
·The demographic situation in Japan and South Korea | 第41-44页 |
·Financial deficit of the pension system in Japan and South Korea | 第44-47页 |
·Pensions at great expense | 第45-46页 |
·Potential fiscal deficit in the pension system | 第46-47页 |
·Overview of the pension scheme in Japan and South Korea | 第47-55页 |
·Multi-pillar pension system and two-tier first pillar in both countries | 第48-53页 |
·Means-tested old age pension funded by general revenue in South Korea | 第53页 |
·Large amount of prefunding | 第53-55页 |
·Pension reform and its trend | 第55-65页 |
·Expansion of the coverage | 第56-58页 |
·Contribution rate.pensionable age and replacement rate | 第58-62页 |
·Adjustment of benefit level Japan | 第62-63页 |
·Shift from DB plans to DC plans | 第63页 |
·Inestment stategy of the reserve fund | 第63-65页 |
·Assessment of the reform and the lessons to China | 第65-72页 |
·Adequacy of the pension:the expansion of coverage | 第66-67页 |
·More sources of contribution and lower level of the benefit | 第67-69页 |
·Higher efficiency of the operation and the management | 第69-72页 |
4. Case Study: How to share the cost of pension transition in Chile and Sweden? | 第72-98页 |
·Chilean model:priatization with government support | 第73-83页 |
·Mandatory private pension system | 第74-77页 |
·Recognition bond and the role of the government in the transition | 第77-79页 |
·Outcome of the transition in Chile | 第79-83页 |
·Swedish model:Introduction of the notional defined-contribution plan | 第83-96页 |
·Gradual transition with notional individual account and private individual account | 第84-86页 |
·Automatic balancing mechanisms against early retirement and liabity | 第86-89页 |
·Redistributive function in the new system | 第89-91页 |
·Centralized management with buffer fund and PPM | 第91-93页 |
·Outcome of the Swedish pension reform | 第93-96页 |
·Conclusion | 第96-98页 |
Ⅲ. How to reform in China | 第98-114页 |
5. China's reform | 第98-111页 |
·Review of the reforms in Japan.South Korea.Chile and Sweden | 第98-100页 |
·Reforms in China | 第100-111页 |
·Increase of the pensionable age | 第100-102页 |
·Establishment of the automatic adjustment mechanism | 第102-104页 |
·Larger reserve fund with pooling at higher level | 第104-105页 |
·Liberalized financial market with more options on investment and pension types | 第105-107页 |
·Redistribution with the minimum guarantee and means-tested benefit | 第107-109页 |
·Strieter supervision to promote transpareney the pension system | 第109-111页 |
6 Conclusion | 第111-114页 |
Bibliography | 第114-119页 |