| 摘要 | 第2-3页 |
| Abstract | 第3页 |
| 1 Introduction | 第6-10页 |
| 1.1 BACKGROUND | 第6-8页 |
| 1.2 LITERATURE REVIEW | 第8-10页 |
| 2 Capacity Of Kazakhstan's Transit Corridors | 第10-22页 |
| 2.1 COOPERATION BETWEEN CENTRAL ASIAN COUNTRIES | 第10-16页 |
| 2.2 TRANSIT OPPORTUNITIES | 第16页 |
| 2.3 KAZAKHSTAN'S TRANSIT CORRIDORS | 第16-19页 |
| 2.4 INTERNATIONAL RAILWAY CORRIDORS | 第19-22页 |
| 3 The Border-Crossing Dostyk-Alashankou | 第22-36页 |
| 3.1 DOSTYK-ALASHANKOU TERMINALS’ CURRENT SITUATION | 第22-23页 |
| 3.2 THE VOLUME OF RAILWAY TRANSIT FREIGHT TRAFFIC | 第23-25页 |
| 3.3 ROLE OF KAZAKHSTAN IN THE SILK ROAD ECONOMIC BELT | 第25-27页 |
| 3.4 TRANSIT POTENTIAL OF KAZAKHSTAN | 第27-29页 |
| 3.5 TRANSIT VOLUMES IN KAZAKHSTAN | 第29-36页 |
| 3.5.1 Special Economic Zones | 第30-32页 |
| 3.5.2 Railroad Industry Overview In Kazakhstan | 第32-34页 |
| 3.5.3 Railroad Infrastructure | 第34-36页 |
| 4 Transit Traffic Swot Analysis | 第36-42页 |
| 4.1 SWOT ANALYSIS FOR INTERNATIONAL TRANSIT IN KAZAKHSTAN | 第36-38页 |
| 4.2 SWOT ANALYSIS FOR THE BORDER-CROSSING DOSTYK–ALASHANKOU | 第38-41页 |
| 4.3 SUMMARY | 第41-42页 |
| 5 Dostyk-Alashankou's Railway Transit Freight Traffic Volume Forecast | 第42-54页 |
| 5.1 METHODS OF RAILWAY TRANSIT FREIGHT TRAFFIC VOLUME FORECAST | 第42-51页 |
| 5.1.1 Grey Prediction Model | 第43-45页 |
| 5.1.2 Time Series Regression | 第45-49页 |
| 5.1.3 Genetic Algorithm-Neural Network Method | 第49-51页 |
| 5.2 THE COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE DIFFERENT METHODS | 第51-52页 |
| 5.3 SUMMARY | 第52-54页 |
| 6 Measures And Solutions | 第54-58页 |
| 6.1 THESIS | 第54-55页 |
| 6.2 MEASURES AND SOLUTIONS | 第55-58页 |
| 6.2.1 Take Advantage Of The Carec And Traceca Corridors | 第55-56页 |
| 6.2.2 Increase Investment In Infrastructure At Transit Ports | 第56页 |
| 6.2.3 Simplification Of Customs Clearance Process For Transit Goods | 第56-57页 |
| 6.2.4 Through The Flow Of The Port Of Attenkory-Horgos | 第57页 |
| 6.2.5 Focus On The Training Of Transnational Talents And Experts | 第57-58页 |
| Conclusion | 第58-59页 |
| References | 第59-64页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第64-65页 |
| 致谢 | 第65-67页 |
