| ABSTRACT | 第6-7页 |
| 摘要 | 第8-9页 |
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS | 第9-10页 |
| Why I have chosen this topic? | 第10-16页 |
| 1. Introduction | 第16-18页 |
| 2. Background and research questions | 第18-20页 |
| 3. Literature review | 第20-23页 |
| 4. Trend of scrapped vehicle industry | 第23-36页 |
| A. Definition of junkyard | 第23页 |
| B. Volume of scrapped vehicles | 第23-27页 |
| a. Total number of ELVs dismantled in 2008 breaks the 600,000 unit Mark | 第25-27页 |
| C. The current state of the scrapped car industry between China and Korea | 第27-36页 |
| a. The scrapping car industry to get new standards | 第30页 |
| b. China the world's largest vehicle market in 2009 | 第30-32页 |
| c. ELV policy, law, and management system in China | 第32-35页 |
| d. Unbalanced junkyard market in Korea | 第35-36页 |
| 5. The issue of the junkyard industry | 第36-56页 |
| A. Lack of a structured system | 第36-37页 |
| a. Less competition in China versus too much competition in Korea | 第36-37页 |
| B. Environmental pollution | 第37页 |
| C. ELV take-back and treatment in China | 第37-39页 |
| D. Problems with policy | 第39-53页 |
| a. Methodology | 第41-47页 |
| a.1 Deposit system | 第41-43页 |
| a.2 Subsidy policy for recycling ELVs | 第43-45页 |
| a.3 Tax policy | 第45-47页 |
| b. New model | 第47-52页 |
| b.1 Cash for clunkers program | 第47-49页 |
| b.2 The problems in the cash for clunkers program | 第49-51页 |
| b.3 Field investigation | 第51页 |
| b.4 To build a vehicle manufacturer-oriented national recycling network | 第51-52页 |
| b.5 To build an information interaction platform of vehicle product in total lifecycle | 第52页 |
| c. Brief conclusion | 第52-53页 |
| E. Government intervention: Scrape that gas-guzzler | 第53-55页 |
| F. Aging vehicles | 第55-56页 |
| 6. Outlook for the junkyard industry | 第56-101页 |
| A. Outlook of junkyard | 第56-66页 |
| a. Formulas | 第58-59页 |
| b. Factor analysis | 第59-60页 |
| c. Reliability analysis | 第60-61页 |
| d. Transform | 第61-62页 |
| e. Correlations | 第62页 |
| f. Linear regression | 第62-63页 |
| g. Hierarchical analysis | 第63-65页 |
| h. A formula to forecast the demand for the next year in the junkyard industry | 第65-66页 |
| B. From a registration system to a licensing system | 第66-68页 |
| C. EU reinforces standardization of ELV | 第68-72页 |
| D. Solution | 第72-78页 |
| a. Business expansion | 第72页 |
| b. Introducing the registration system | 第72-73页 |
| c. Gradual reinforcement | 第73页 |
| d. Designing vehicles with recycling in mind | 第73-78页 |
| E. The growth possibility of Scrapped cars | 第78-101页 |
| a. China share of global auto market increasing | 第78-80页 |
| b. The automobile industry has been severely affected by the economic downturn | 第80-86页 |
| c. Governments have encouraged new car purchases | 第86-92页 |
| d. Prospects for the short and medium term differ across regions | 第92-93页 |
| e. Forecasting the number of scrapped vehicles in Korea for the next three decades | 第93-97页 |
| f. Forecasting the number of scrapped vehicles in China for the next three decades | 第97-101页 |
| 7. Conclusion | 第101-104页 |
| 8. References | 第104-108页 |
