摘要 | 第5-6页 |
Abstract | 第6-7页 |
Introduction | 第14-34页 |
Simultaneous but 'uneven' rise of India and China | 第14-18页 |
Power and outward growth | 第16-18页 |
Rise of China and growing global economic presence | 第18-19页 |
Scope of the Study:South Asia | 第19-22页 |
Literary review: A great power rivalry | 第22-26页 |
Security Dilemma | 第23-25页 |
Widening power asymmetries and shifting threat perceptions | 第25-26页 |
Objective of the Study | 第26-30页 |
Distribution of relative economic power | 第27-28页 |
Fungibility of power resources as a factor of South Asia's domain context | 第28-30页 |
Paradox of India's discursive power | 第30页 |
Narendra Modi and the new phase of foreign policy activism | 第30-32页 |
South Asia's challenge and opportunity | 第32页 |
Sequence | 第32-34页 |
1. Why the Sino-India competition is uneven? | 第34-51页 |
1.1. Power asymmetries between India and China | 第34-38页 |
1.1.1. Widening power asymmetries in defence | 第35-36页 |
1.1.2. Asymmetries in R&D spending | 第36-37页 |
1.1.3. Relative power of firms | 第37-38页 |
1.2. State structures and limits of extractive capacity | 第38-45页 |
1.2.1. Constraining effects of political fragmentation | 第42-44页 |
1.2.2. India's limit of extractive power | 第44-45页 |
1.2.3. Opportunity cost of foreign policy interests | 第45页 |
1.3. Primary Research Question | 第45-46页 |
1.4. Power analysis | 第46-48页 |
1.4.1. Element of national power approach | 第47页 |
1.4.2. Power Relational Approach | 第47-48页 |
1.4.3. Primary Hypothesis | 第48页 |
1.5. Research Outline | 第48-49页 |
1.5.1. Distribution of economic power resources in the region | 第48-49页 |
1.5.2. Domain context and fungibility of power | 第49页 |
Conclusion | 第49-51页 |
2. Background to Sino-India relations | 第51-73页 |
2.1. Relations between China and India after independence | 第51-63页 |
2.1.1. India's Non-alignment Policy | 第51-53页 |
2.1.2. Mao's 'lean to one side' | 第53-54页 |
2.1.3. Internal contradictions in India's policy on China | 第54-58页 |
2.1.4. Frozen Sino- Indian relationship and trappings of Indo-Soviet alliance | 第58-60页 |
2.1.5. Soviet influence of India's China relations | 第60-62页 |
2.1.6. Rajiv Gandhi's Beijing visit and revival of high level contact | 第62-63页 |
2.2. Xi and Modi era | 第63-71页 |
2.2.1. The new dynamics of Indo-Chinese relations under the new leadership in Beijing and New Delhi | 第63-66页 |
2.2.2. Cooperating globally- competing locally | 第66页 |
2.2.3. "Chindia": Peace through trade? | 第66-69页 |
2.2.4. India China: Decoupling economic cooperation from security rivalry | 第69-71页 |
Conclusion | 第71-73页 |
3. China's South Asia Policy | 第73-94页 |
3.1. China's Third World Policy | 第73-78页 |
3.1.1. Five principles of Co-existence | 第75-76页 |
3.1.2. Mao's 'Three Worlds theory' | 第76-77页 |
3.1.3. Low Key approach of Deng Xiaoping | 第77-78页 |
3.2. China's economic diplomacy in South Asia in the 21st century | 第78-84页 |
3.2.1. High Level contact | 第79-82页 |
3.2.2. South Asia's Bipartisan consensus | 第82-83页 |
3.2.3. China as a source of diplomatic support | 第83-84页 |
3.3. Defence cooperation | 第84-86页 |
3.4. Indian Concern: South Asia's tight rope walk | 第86-87页 |
3.5. Sino-Pakistan entente | 第87-92页 |
3.5.1. CPEC: Moving beyond defence | 第90-92页 |
Conclusion | 第92-94页 |
4. China's economic power resources and fungibility in South Asia | 第94-127页 |
4.1. China's looming web of economic influence | 第94-97页 |
4.1.1. Rapid expansion | 第96-97页 |
4.2. Chinese economic presence in South Asian states | 第97-107页 |
4.2.1. Pakistan | 第97-98页 |
4.2.2. China Pakistan Economic Corridor | 第98-101页 |
4.2.3. Sri Lanka | 第101-103页 |
4.2.4. Bangladesh | 第103-104页 |
4.2.5. Nepal | 第104-105页 |
4.2.6. Maldives | 第105-106页 |
4.2.7. Afghanistan | 第106-107页 |
4.2.8. Bhutan | 第107页 |
4.3. Misconceptions of the Chinese aid to South Asia | 第107-110页 |
4.3.1. lending rogue regimes? | 第107-108页 |
4.3.2. Less geopolitical, more mercantilist | 第108页 |
4.3.3. More loans, less aid | 第108-110页 |
4.4. China's Soft power | 第110-114页 |
4.4.1. Limits of China's soft power | 第113-114页 |
4.5. Domain /Scope factor: South Asia's domestic system | 第114-118页 |
4.5.1. Infrastructure deficit | 第114-115页 |
4.5.2. Sense of urgency | 第115-117页 |
4.5.3. Personal political ambitions and Performance based legitimacy | 第117-118页 |
4.6. Domain /scope context and fungibility of China's economic power | 第118-125页 |
4.6.1. Domestic Politics | 第119-121页 |
4.6.2. Limits of state centric approach | 第121-122页 |
4.6.3. Fragmented Polity and local discontent | 第122-123页 |
4.6.4. Loans: a double edged sward | 第123-124页 |
4.6.5. Geopolitical limits | 第124-125页 |
Conclusion | 第125-127页 |
5. India's South Asia strategy | 第127-153页 |
5.1. British Raj and the formation of India's neighbourhood policy | 第127-130页 |
5.2. India's Monroe Doctrine: Indira Doctrine | 第130-131页 |
5.3. Paradox of discursive power: India's image problem | 第131-135页 |
5.4. India's China concern in South Asia | 第135-137页 |
5.5. India's economic role in South Asia | 第137-146页 |
5.5.1. Bhutan | 第140-141页 |
5.5.2. Nepal | 第141-142页 |
5.5.3. Afghanistan | 第142-143页 |
5.5.4. Bangladesh | 第143-144页 |
5.5.5. Sri Lanka | 第144-146页 |
5.6. Intra-regional trade: Missing elephant in the room | 第146-147页 |
5.7. Modi and the new phase of Indian economic diplomacy | 第147-151页 |
5.7.1. Multilateral economic balancing | 第149-151页 |
Conclusion | 第151-153页 |
6. How India is balancing China's economic presence in South Asia under Narendra Modi? | 第153-180页 |
6.1. Narendra Modi's personalized foreign policy | 第153-158页 |
6.1.1. Personal attributes and change of domestic system as a factor of influencing the Indian foreign policy | 第155-157页 |
6.1.2. The ideological shift in Indian foreign policy: from Nehruvianism to Hindutva realism | 第157-158页 |
6.2. India's evolving South Asian policy under Narendra Modi | 第158-163页 |
6.2.1. Bangladesh | 第159-160页 |
6.2.2. Sri Lanka | 第160-162页 |
6.2.3. Nepal | 第162页 |
6.2.4. Maldives | 第162-163页 |
6.3. India's evolving multi-lateral strategy of soft balancing | 第163-178页 |
6.3.1. The revival of the Quad | 第164-166页 |
6.3.2. Democratic Quad: The synergy of internal characteristics | 第166-168页 |
6.3.3. India-America grand partnership | 第168-169页 |
6.3.4. Security cooperation | 第169-172页 |
6.3.5. Trump and the evolving one dimensional partnership | 第172-176页 |
6.3.6. Challenges ahead | 第176-178页 |
Conclusion | 第178-180页 |
Conclusion | 第180-189页 |
China's lateral pressure and outward growth | 第180-182页 |
India's Relative power deficit and limits of foreign policy activism | 第182-184页 |
Fungibility of power resources and South Asia's domain context | 第184-185页 |
India's balancing of China and convergence of systemic forces | 第185-187页 |
A case for Sino-Indian cooperation in South Asian and mutual benefit | 第187-189页 |
Bibliography | 第189-216页 |