| ABSTRACT | 第5页 |
| 摘要 | 第6-7页 |
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS | 第7-12页 |
| CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION | 第12-23页 |
| 1.1 Research background and significance | 第12-16页 |
| 1.2 Research status | 第16-20页 |
| 1.3 Research content and key technologies | 第20-21页 |
| 1.4 Thesis structure arrangement | 第21-23页 |
| CHAPTER 2: Fuzzy Neural Network Model for Heating Load Forecasting | 第23-38页 |
| 2.1 The basic characteristics of heating load forecasting | 第23-24页 |
| 2.2 Analysis of Fuzzy Logic System | 第24-26页 |
| 2.2.1 The Development and Research of Fuzzy Technology | 第24页 |
| 2.2.2 Introduction to fuzzy systems | 第24-26页 |
| 2.3 Analysis of Artificial Neural Network | 第26-32页 |
| 2.3.1 Characteristics of Artificial Neural Networks | 第26-28页 |
| 2.3.2 Principle of Artificial Neural Networks | 第28-29页 |
| 2.3.3 Principle of BP neural network | 第29-30页 |
| 2.3.4 Calculation process of BP neural network | 第30-32页 |
| 2.4 The Combination of Fuzzy Logic and Neural Network | 第32-37页 |
| 2.4.1 Knowledge Processing of Fuzzy Systems and Neural Networks | 第32-33页 |
| 2.4.2 The Function Equivalence of Fuzzy System and Neural Network | 第33-34页 |
| 2.4.3 The Necessity of Combining Fuzzy System with Neural Network | 第34-36页 |
| 2.4.4 Advantages of Fuzzy Neural Network in Short-term Load Forecasting | 第36-37页 |
| 2.5 Chapter summary | 第37-38页 |
| CHAPTER 3: Design of Fuzzy Neural Network for Heating Load Forecasting | 第38-48页 |
| 3.1 The basic idea of heating load forecasting | 第38页 |
| 3.2 The basic process of load forecasting | 第38-40页 |
| 3.3 Selection of input and output variables for load forecasting fuzzy neural network model | 第40-43页 |
| 3.3.1 Select the input variable | 第40-42页 |
| 3.3.2 Select the output variable | 第42-43页 |
| 3.4 The Structure of Fuzzy Neural Network for Centralized Heat Load Forecasting | 第43-45页 |
| 3.5 The learning steps of fuzzy neural network | 第45-46页 |
| 3.6 Chapter summary | 第46-48页 |
| CHAPTER 4: Carry on the simulation test to the heating load forecasting model | 第48-57页 |
| 4.1 Data description | 第48-49页 |
| 4.2 Historical load data and preprocessing of input and output parameters | 第49-50页 |
| 4.2.1 Preprocessing of historical load data | 第49页 |
| 4.2.2 Preprocessing of input and output parameters | 第49-50页 |
| 4.3 Result Analysis Based on Fuzzy Neural Network | 第50-56页 |
| 4.3.1 Initialization of network training parameters | 第50-54页 |
| 4.3.2 Predictive Results of Fuzzy Neural Networks | 第54-56页 |
| 4.4 Chapter summary | 第56-57页 |
| CHAPTER 5: Summary and outlook | 第57-59页 |
| 5.1 Work summary | 第57页 |
| 5.2 Looking ahead | 第57-59页 |
| REFERENCES | 第59-61页 |
