| 中文摘要 | 第4-8页 |
| ABSTRACT | 第8-12页 |
| Chapter 1 Introduction | 第15-38页 |
| 1.1 Significance of Research | 第15-17页 |
| 1.2 Literature Review | 第17-29页 |
| 1.3 The Limits of Neo-Realism for the Regional Study of SouthCaucasus | 第29-35页 |
| 1.4 Research Methodology and Design | 第35-38页 |
| Chapter 2 Domestic Political Structure and Allying behavior: Theory | 第38-50页 |
| 2.1 Theory and Hypothesis | 第38-40页 |
| 2.2 Theory and Sources of Risk | 第40-41页 |
| 2.3 Theory and Dependent Variable | 第41-43页 |
| 2.4 Theory and Independent Vairables | 第43-48页 |
| 2.5 Explanation of Case Selection | 第48-50页 |
| Chapter 3 Turkey's Oath Abroad and Tied Hands at Home | 第50-64页 |
| 3.1 Turkeys Domestic Political Structure and the Higher Risk of Non-allying | 第51-54页 |
| 3.2 Incomplete Democratic Consolidation and its Belligerent Foreign Policy | 第54-60页 |
| 3.3 Perception of Political Parties and the Exaggeration of Risk | 第60-64页 |
| Chapter 4: Russia's Scorned Ally and Double-Edged Policy in South Caucasus | 第64-81页 |
| 4.1 Russi'as Perverted Democratization and the Low Risk of Non-allying | 第65-70页 |
| 4.2 Russian Unformed Foreign Policy and Wrong Ethno-politics | 第70-81页 |
| Chapter 5: Iran's Neutrality Derived from Adjustment of Regional Interests and Domestic Security | 第81-100页 |
| 5.1 Iran’s Domestic Political Structure and the Low Risk of Non-allying | 第81-85页 |
| 5.2 Iran’s Consolidated Autocracy and its Stabilizing Role | 第85-100页 |
| Chapter 6: The Multi-vector Role of the West for the Rest in South Caucasus | 第100-128页 |
| 6.1 Armenia and the West: rewarding policy? | 第100-105页 |
| 6.2 Azerbaijan and the West: Limited Cooperation? | 第105-112页 |
| 6.3 Turkey and the West: Converging or Diverging? | 第112-114页 |
| 6.4 Russia and the West: Still Zero-sum Game? | 第114-116页 |
| 6.5 Iran and the West: Containment or Engagement? | 第116-120页 |
| 6.6 Implications for China | 第120-128页 |
| Conclusion | 第128-132页 |
| Bibliography | 第132-138页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第138页 |
