ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS | 第5-6页 |
ABSTRACT | 第6页 |
TABLE OF CONTENTS | 第7-9页 |
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS | 第9-10页 |
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES | 第10-11页 |
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION | 第11-23页 |
1.1. Research Backgrounds | 第11-18页 |
1.1.1 Economic Cooperation in ASEAN | 第13-18页 |
1.1.1.1. ASEAN Free Trade Area(AFTA) | 第13-15页 |
1.1.1.2 The ASEAN Economic Community(AEC) | 第15-18页 |
1.2. Research Motivations | 第18-20页 |
1.3. Research Objectives and Intended Contribution | 第20-21页 |
1.4. Thesis Structure | 第21-23页 |
CHAPTER TWO:LITERATURE REVIEW | 第23-31页 |
2.1. The Effects of Foreign trade on Economic Development | 第23-25页 |
2.2. The Effects of Institutions on Foreign trade and Economic Development | 第25-26页 |
2.3. The Effects of Financial Development on Trade and Economic Development | 第26-28页 |
2.4. The Effects of Human Capital on Foreign trade and Economic Development | 第28-31页 |
CHAPTER THREE:THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK | 第31-41页 |
3.1. Foundations of Trade Theories | 第31-32页 |
3.2. Why Do Nations Trade?Is trade good for a country? | 第32-34页 |
3.3 Theories of complementary factors to trade openness and growth | 第34-35页 |
3.4 Human Capital in the Theoretical Perspectives | 第35页 |
3.5 Institutions in the Theoretical Perspectives | 第35-36页 |
3.6 Financial Development in the Theoretical Debates | 第36-38页 |
3.7 An Illustration of an Endogenous Growth Model | 第38-40页 |
3.8 Proposed Research Hypothesis | 第40-41页 |
CHAPTER FOUR:METHODOLOGY | 第41-48页 |
4.1 Pooled OLS Estimation | 第41-42页 |
4.2 Fixed-Effect Estimation | 第42页 |
4.3 Random Effect Estimation | 第42-43页 |
4.4 The Endogeneity problems and Instrumental Variable | 第43-45页 |
4.5 Model Specifications | 第45-48页 |
4.5.1 Pooled OLS Regression | 第45页 |
4.5.2 Fixed-effect Regression | 第45-46页 |
4.5.3 The regressions of the roles of trade complementarities on GDP | 第46-48页 |
CHAPTER 5:DATA | 第48-57页 |
5.1 Data sources and Definition of selected variables | 第48-52页 |
5.2 Descriptive Statistics | 第52-53页 |
5.3 General Trends of some most important variables | 第53-57页 |
5.3.1 Gross domestic product(GDP)trend across ASEAN members | 第53页 |
5.3.2 The trend of trade openness across ASEAN countries | 第53-54页 |
5.3.3 The trend of financial development across ASEAN countries | 第54-55页 |
5.3.4 The trend of stock of instirutiotions across ASEAN countries | 第55-56页 |
5.3.5 The trend of human capital across ASEAN countries | 第56-57页 |
CHAPTER SIX: RESEARCH ANALYSIS AND RESULTS | 第57-67页 |
6.1 Panel Correlation and Baseline Regression Results | 第57-61页 |
6.2 Results of Growth benefits from trade interacted with policy complementarities | 第61-67页 |
6.2.1 Growth benefits from trade conditional on Human Capital and Financial Depth | 第61-63页 |
6.2.2 Growth benefits from trade conditional on Quality of Institutions | 第63-67页 |
CHAPTER 7:CONCLUSIONS | 第67-70页 |
7.1 Summary of findings | 第67-68页 |
7.2 Policy Implications of the Research Findings | 第68-69页 |
7.3 Suggestions for Future Works | 第69-70页 |
REFERENCES | 第70-78页 |
Appendix | 第78-83页 |