| ACKNOWLEDGEMENT | 第4-5页 |
| 摘要 | 第5-7页 |
| ABSTRACT | 第7-9页 |
| CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION | 第15-21页 |
| 1.1 Background of the study | 第15-16页 |
| 1.2 Statement of the Problem | 第16-17页 |
| 1.3 Research objectives | 第17-18页 |
| 1.3.1. General Objectives | 第17页 |
| 1.3.2 Specific objectives | 第17-18页 |
| 1.4. Research Questions | 第18页 |
| 1.4.1 Specific Questions | 第18页 |
| 1.5 Hypothesis | 第18页 |
| 1.6 Methodology | 第18-19页 |
| 1.7 Significance of the Study | 第19-20页 |
| 1.8 Structure of the Study | 第20-21页 |
| CHAPITRE 2: LITERATURE REVIEW | 第21-82页 |
| 2.1. Introduction | 第21页 |
| 2.2 Concept and definition of economic security and political governance in CAR | 第21-27页 |
| 2.3 Democracy and Good Governance-the interplay | 第27-29页 |
| 2.4 Democratic Participation | 第29-30页 |
| 2.5 Macro versus Micro issues of political governance | 第30页 |
| 2.6 Overview of CAR's Political and Economic crisis context | 第30-37页 |
| 2.6.1 Coups d'etats | 第31-33页 |
| 2.6.2 Rent seeking | 第33-34页 |
| 2.6.3 Ethnic tensions | 第34-35页 |
| 2.6.4 Neighbourhoods effect | 第35-36页 |
| 2.6.5 External shocks | 第36页 |
| 2.6.6 Zaraguinas and former soldiers | 第36-37页 |
| 2.7 Political governance crisis and some keys macro-economic aggregates | 第37-39页 |
| 2.8 Political governance and economic crisis in CAR since 1990 | 第39-47页 |
| 2.9 CAR's approaches to political governance Crisis | 第47-50页 |
| 2.10 CAR's Current economic situation | 第50-61页 |
| 2.10.1 Economic security | 第51-52页 |
| 2.10.2 Contemporary thinking on economic security | 第52-53页 |
| 2.10.3 Nexus between economic and security | 第53-54页 |
| 2.10.4 The new conceptual approach to economic security | 第54-56页 |
| 2.10.4.1 Establishing the definition of economic security based on the new conceptualapproach | 第55-56页 |
| 2.10.5 The objectives typologies of economic security | 第56-61页 |
| 2.11 Characterizing the Economy Security in CAR | 第61-63页 |
| 2.12 Government's responsibility for economic security | 第63-64页 |
| 2.13 Political stability and economic security | 第64-71页 |
| 2.13.1 Concept of political stability | 第64-70页 |
| 2.13.2 Peace and stability | 第70-71页 |
| 2.14 Relation between political stability and economic security | 第71-76页 |
| 2.15 Political stability and investments | 第76-79页 |
| 2.16 Political stability and natural resources | 第79-82页 |
| CHAPITRE 3: METHODOLOGY | 第82-97页 |
| 3.1. Data source and sample frame | 第82-86页 |
| 3.2 Analytical framework of Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) instrumental RegressionAnalysis | 第86页 |
| 3.3 simple regression model | 第86-87页 |
| 3.4 Instrumental variables | 第87-90页 |
| 3.4.1 Definition of an Instrument | 第87-88页 |
| 3.4.2 Examples of the Instrument analysis | 第88-89页 |
| 3.4.3 Instrumental Variables Estimator | 第89-90页 |
| 3.5 Two-Stage Least Squares | 第90-91页 |
| 3.6 Assumptions of two-stage least squares (2sls) regression analysis | 第91-92页 |
| 3.7 Checking for Validity of Instruments | 第92-97页 |
| 3.7.1 Checking Instrument Relevance | 第93-94页 |
| 3.7.2 Checking Instrument Exogeneity | 第94-97页 |
| CHAPITER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS | 第97-117页 |
| 4.1 Time series properties of data | 第97-104页 |
| 4.2 Descriptive statistics | 第104-107页 |
| 4.3 Tables of results from two stages regression analyses | 第107-117页 |
| CHAPITER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS | 第117-125页 |
| 5.1 Summary | 第117页 |
| 5.2 conclusions | 第117-118页 |
| 5.3 Recommendations and Policy Implications | 第118-123页 |
| 5.4 Innovation Points/Contribution of This Research | 第123-124页 |
| 5.5 Directions for Future Research | 第124-125页 |
| REFERENCES | 第125-133页 |
| 附录 | 第133-135页 |
| List of publications published in Zhejiang University | 第135-136页 |
| Author's Resume | 第136页 |
