| 摘要 | 第3-5页 |
| Abstract | 第5-6页 |
| Abbreviation | 第11-12页 |
| Chapter 1: Introduction | 第12-19页 |
| 1.1 Significance | 第12-15页 |
| 1.2 Thesis Structure | 第15-17页 |
| 1.3 Uniqueness | 第17页 |
| 1.4 Limitations and Suggestions for Future Study | 第17-19页 |
| Chapter 2: Literature Review | 第19-30页 |
| 2.1 Literature Review of Definition and Criteria for Middle-Income Trap | 第19-22页 |
| 2.2 Literature Review of Reasons Why Countries are Caught in Middle-IncomeTrap and Strategic Approaches to Get Out of Middle-Income Trap | 第22-24页 |
| 2.3 Literature Review of Intemational Comparisons on Middle-Income Trap | 第24-26页 |
| 2.4 Literature Review of Middle-Income Trap and China | 第26-28页 |
| 2.5 A Brief Summary | 第28-30页 |
| Chapter 3: Theoretical Explanations on Middle-Income Trap | 第30-48页 |
| 3.1 Development Stages of an Economy | 第31-34页 |
| 3.2 Regional development Paradigm | 第34-40页 |
| 3.2.1 Flying Geese Model | 第34-38页 |
| 3.2.2 Five Phases of Economic Development in East Asia | 第38-40页 |
| 3.3 Theory of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) | 第40-43页 |
| 3.4 Theory of Human Capital | 第43-46页 |
| 3.5 Summary | 第46-48页 |
| Chapter 4: Empirical Analysis on Middle-Income Trap | 第48-74页 |
| 4.1 Case Selection | 第48-56页 |
| 4.1.1 South Korea: Institutional Channels Boosting the Catching-up Progress | 第49-52页 |
| 4.1.2 Taiwan Province, China: Collective Dynamism of SMEs | 第52-53页 |
| 4.1.3 Singapore: TNC Route for Industrial Progress | 第53-55页 |
| 4.1.4 Hong Kong SAR, China: Market-Oriented Industrialization | 第55-56页 |
| 4.2 Empirical Models and Results | 第56-67页 |
| 4.2.1 Regression --- Determinants of Income Level | 第56-62页 |
| 4.2.2 Regression --- Determinants of Growth Rate | 第62-65页 |
| 4.2.3 Probit Regression --- Determinants of Countries and Economies Being Caught in the Middle-Income Trap | 第65-67页 |
| 4.3 Analysis | 第67-74页 |
| Chapter 5: Summary, Conclusion and Policy Recommendation | 第74-83页 |
| 5.1 Summary | 第74-75页 |
| 5.2 Conclusion | 第75-77页 |
| 5.3 Policy Recommendation | 第77-83页 |
| 5.3.1 General policy recommendation | 第77-78页 |
| 5.3.2 Policy recommendation for China | 第78-83页 |
| Bibliography | 第83-87页 |
| Appendix | 第87-89页 |
