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基于多智能体的农业环境政策影响下农户劳动力配置与土地利用决策机理研究

作者简历第6-8页
中文摘要第8-18页
Abstract第18-20页
Chapter 1 Introduction第24-53页
    1.1 Research background第24-30页
        1.1.1 The growing interests in coupled human and natural systems第24-25页
        1.1.2 The need to investigate rural household decisions in the CHANS context第25-27页
        1.1.3 The need for an integrated evaluation on agri-environmental programs第27-29页
        1.1.4 Agent-based modeling emerges as a promising tool for studying CHANS第29-30页
    1.2 Literature review第30-49页
        1.2.1 Household economic theories第30-33页
        1.2.2 Methods for studying CHANS第33-34页
        1.2.3 Agent-based models in CHANS第34-49页
    1.3 Research objectives and contents第49-53页
        1.3.1 Research objectives第49-50页
        1.3.2 Research questions第50页
        1.3.3 Outline of the dissertation第50-53页
Chapter 2 The study area: Tiantangzhai Township第53-66页
    2.1 Study area第53-59页
        2.1.1 Location and natural environment第53-55页
        2.1.2 Socio-economic environment第55页
        2.1.3 Policy environment第55-59页
    2.2 Data collection第59-66页
        2.2.1 Demographic and socio-economic datasets第59-61页
        2.2.2 Spatial datasets and spatial connections第61-66页
Chapter 3 The mechanisms of rural household labor allocation第66-100页
    3.1 Theoretical and empirical frameworks第66-73页
        3.1.1 Household labor allocation第66-67页
        3.1.2 Theoretical framework第67-69页
        3.1.3 Empirical framework第69-73页
    3.2 Data processing and method第73-76页
        3.2.1 Data processing第73页
        3.2.2 The statistical model第73-76页
    3.3 Results第76-99页
        3.3.1 Descriptive statistics第76-83页
        3.3.2 Model evaluation第83-86页
        3.3.3 Direct, indirect and total effects第86-91页
        3.3.4 Multi-group analysis第91-99页
    3.4 Policy implications第99-100页
Chapter 4 The mechanisms of rural household land use decision-making第100-137页
    4.1 Theoretical and empirical frameworks第100-111页
        4.1.1 Household land allocation第100-101页
        4.1.2 Theoretical framework第101-104页
        4.1.3 Empirical framework第104-111页
    4.2 Data processing and method第111-113页
        4.2.1 Data processing第111页
        4.2.2 The statistical model第111-113页
    4.3 Results第113-133页
        4.3.1 Descriptive statistics第113-120页
        4.3.2 Determinants of land use decision第120-126页
        4.3.3 Interaction effects第126-133页
    4.4 Policy implications第133-137页
        4.4.1 Policy interactions: synergies, trade-offs, and total effects of policies第133-135页
        4.4.2 The importance of more effective use of abandoned cropland第135-137页
Chapter 5 Design of an agent-based model to examine human–environmentinteractions in a rural agricultural context based on the ODD protocol第137-196页
    5.1 Model overview第139-160页
        5.1.1 Purpose第139页
        5.1.2 Entities, state variables, and scales第139-155页
        5.1.3 Process overview and scheduling第155-160页
    5.2 Design Concepts第160-162页
    5.3 Details第162-195页
        5.3.1 Initialization第162-163页
        5.3.2 Input Data第163-164页
        5.3.3 Submodels第164-195页
    5.4 Validation and calibration第195-196页
Chapter 6 Evaluation of the impacts of agri-environmental policies onhousehold labor and land use decisions with the RHLIS model第196-222页
    6.1 Policy experiments design第196-199页
        6.1.1 Scenario design第196-199页
        6.1.2 Indicators of dynamics in human and landscape systems第199页
    6.2 The coupled system dynamics under different behavior rules第199-203页
    6.3 The coupled system dynamics under single policy intervention第203-215页
        6.3.1 Impacts of CCFP第203-207页
        6.3.2 Impact on EWFP第207-211页
        6.3.3 Impacts of grain compensation subsidy第211-215页
    6.4 Interactions between agri-environmental policies第215-222页
        6.4.1 Interaction between CCFP and EWFP第215-218页
        6.4.2 Interaction between CCFP and Grain subsidy第218页
        6.4.3 Interaction between EWFP and grain subsidy第218-221页
        6.4.4 Three-way interactions第221-222页
Chapter 7 Conclusions and future study第222-229页
    7.1 Main conclusions第222-226页
        7.1.1 Rural household labor allocation第222-223页
        7.1.2 Rural household land use decision-making第223-224页
        7.1.3 Insights from the Rural Household-Landscape Interaction (RHLIS) model第224-226页
    7.2 Contributions第226-228页
        7.2.1 Explicit representation of micro-level human behavior in land use changeprocesses from a bottom-up perspective第226-227页
        7.2.2 Design of two sets of household decision-making rules to explore theinteractions between rural households and the landscape第227页
        7.2.3 Development of a spatially-explicit decision support tool第227-228页
    7.3 Limitations第228-229页
致谢第229-231页
References第231-246页
Appendix: Questionnaire for wealth index第246-247页

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