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巴基斯坦在外交危机中对外政策制定过程的动力--以9/11后美巴联盟为例

中文摘要第4-10页
ABSTRACT第10-16页
List of Acronyms第21-24页
Chapter 1 Introduction第24-56页
    1.1 Background of the Study第24-30页
    1.2 Statement of the Problem第30-32页
    1.3 Academic Breakthrough第32-33页
    1.4 Literature Review第33-43页
    1.5 Theoretical Framework第43-48页
        1.5.1 Model of State Behavior in Crisis第45-48页
    1.6 Research Methodology第48-52页
    1.7 Structure of the Thesis第52-56页
Chapter 2 Non – Crisis Foreign Policy Making Process in Pakistan第56-76页
    2.1 Introduction第56页
    2.2 Constitutional Provisions第56-58页
    2.3 Foreign Policy Making Process第58-76页
        2.3.1 Formal Actors第60-67页
            2.3.1.1 Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA)第60-63页
            2.3.1.2 Prime Minister and the Cabinet第63-65页
            2.3.1.3 Parliament第65-67页
            2.3.1.4 President第67页
        2.3.2 Informal Actors第67-76页
            2.3.2.1 Military/Intelligence Agency第67-70页
            2.3.2.2 Other Ministries/Divisions第70-71页
            2.3.2.3 Media and Civil Society第71-73页
            2.3.2.4 Academia and Think Tanks第73-76页
Chapter 3 Trends in Pakistan’s Foreign Policy towards U.S. From 1953 – Pre9/11第76-94页
    3.1 1953-1962: Era of Alignment with the U.S第76-79页
        3.1.1 Mutual Defense Assistance Agreement – 1954第76-77页
        3.1.2 South East Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO) – 1954第77-78页
        3.1.3 Baghdad Pact (CENTO) – 1955第78页
        3.1.4 Badaber Base Agreement – 1959第78-79页
        3.1.5 Bilateral Defense Cooperation Agreement – 1959第79页
    3.2 Strains in Alliance 1962 – 1980第79-83页
        3.2.1 Indo– Pak 1965 war and U.S. Arms Embargo第79-81页
        3.2.2 US Failure to Rescue Pakistan in Indo – Pak 1971 war第81-83页
    3.3 Revival of U.S. – Pakistan Alliance: 1980 – 1989第83-88页
        3.3.1 Soviet Attack on Afghanistan and U.S. – Pakistan Proxy War第83-86页
        3.3.2 Pakistan’s Nuclear Program and U.S. Sanctions第86-88页
    3.4 1990 – Pre – 9/11: End Game in Afghanistan and U.S. – Pakistan Tensions第88-94页
        3.4.1 Pakistan’s Relations with Taliban and U.S. Apprehensions第88-89页
        3.4.2 Pakistan’s Nuclear Tests and U.S. Sanctions第89-90页
        3.4.3 1999 Indo – Pak Kargil Conflict and U.S. Tilt towards India第90-91页
        3.4.4 Military Coup – 1999第91-94页
Chapter 4 Post 9/11 Crisis Foreign Policy Decision – Making Environment第94-122页
    4.1 Introduction第94-95页
    4.2 U.S. Foreign Policy Shift towards South Asia after 9/11 Attacks第95-97页
    4.3 Key Variables of Foreign Policy Crisis第97-102页
        4.3.1 Threat to Core Values/Objectives第98页
        4.3.2 War/High Probability of Military Hostilities第98-99页
        4.3.3 Time Pressure第99-101页
        4.3.4 Stress Development第101-102页
    4.4 Crisis Management Process第102-119页
        4.4.1 Information Sources第102-104页
        4.4.2 Decisional Forum第104-119页
            4.4.2.1 Role of State Leader in Crisis Management第108-113页
            4.4.2.2 Role of Army General Head Quarters第113-115页
            4.4.2.3 Role of Military Intelligence第115-117页
            4.4.2.4 Role of Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA)第117-119页
    4.5 Consultation第119-120页
    4.6 Alternative Policy Options第120-121页
    4.7 Foreign Policy Choice第121-122页
Chapter 5 Influential Factors behind the Post 9/11 Foreign Policy U – Turn第122-156页
    5.1 Introduction第122-124页
    5.2 Internal Factors第124-142页
        5.2.1 Defense of Sovereignty第124-127页
        5.2.2 Acquisition of Military Aid and protection of Strategic Assets第127-130页
        5.2.3 Revival of Economy第130-133页
        5.2.4 Quest for Recognition of Non – Democratic Regime第133-135页
        5.2.5 Elimination of Domestic Terrorism and Extremism第135-139页
        5.2.6 Kashmir Cause第139-142页
    5.3 External Factors第142-156页
        5.3.1 Indo – U.S. Strategic Partnership第142-145页
        5.3.2 Pakistan’s Fragile Relations with Taliban第145-150页
        5.3.3 Solidarity of International Community with the U.S第150-152页
        5.3.4 Role of Past U.S. Operations in Afghanistan第152-156页
Chapter 6 Conclusion第156-162页
    6.1 Foreign Policy Limitations第158-159页
    6.2 Recommendations第159-160页
    6.3 Limits of the Study第160页
    6.4 Way Forward第160-162页
Bibliography第162-174页
Acknowledgement第174页

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