| 摘要 | 第1-7页 |
| Abstract | 第7-12页 |
| Chapter 1 Introduction | 第12-26页 |
| ·Research Background | 第12-15页 |
| ·Research Objectives | 第15-16页 |
| ·Research Issues | 第16-21页 |
| ·Thesis Structure | 第21-23页 |
| ·Contribution and Deficiency | 第23-26页 |
| Chapter 2 Literature Review | 第26-40页 |
| ·Revenue Management | 第26-29页 |
| ·Forecasting in RMS | 第29-33页 |
| ·Unconstraining Methods in RMS | 第33-38页 |
| ·Unconstraining of Censored Observations in Airlines | 第34-36页 |
| ·Unconstraining of Censored Observations in Hotels | 第36-37页 |
| ·Unconstraining of Censored Data in Other Fields | 第37-38页 |
| ·Brief Summary | 第38-40页 |
| Chapter 3 Analysis of Censored Observations Unconstraining in RIMS | 第40-61页 |
| ·Analysis of Demand Distributions and Characters | 第40-49页 |
| ·Demand Distributions at Gross Level | 第40-45页 |
| ·Demand Distributions in a Given Lead-time Interval | 第45-48页 |
| ·Demand Characters | 第48-49页 |
| ·Analysis of Booking Data Censoring | 第49-55页 |
| ·The Definition of Booking Data Censoring | 第49-52页 |
| ·The Types of Booking Data Censoring | 第52-53页 |
| ·Cost by Using Censored Data | 第53-55页 |
| ·Analysis of Censored Observations Unconstraining | 第55-59页 |
| ·The Definition of Unconstraining | 第55-56页 |
| ·Methods for Handling Censored Data | 第56-59页 |
| ·Brief Summary | 第59-61页 |
| Chapter 4 EM Algorithms Based on Multi-Distribution Assumptions | 第61-93页 |
| ·Introduction of EM Algorithm | 第62-63页 |
| ·Using EM Algorithm for Unconstraining Censored Demand Data | 第63-65页 |
| ·Traditional Normal EM Algorithm | 第65-71页 |
| ·Proposed Gamma EM Algorithm | 第71-77页 |
| ·Proposed Weibull EM Algorithm | 第77-82页 |
| ·Proposed Exponential EM Algorithm | 第82-86页 |
| ·Proposed Poisson EM Algorithm | 第86-90页 |
| ·Extended EM Algorithm Based on Multi-Distribution Assumptions | 第90-93页 |
| Chapter 5 PD Algorithms Based on Multi-Distribution Assumptions | 第93-115页 |
| ·Introduction | 第93-95页 |
| ·Using PD Algorithm for Unconstraining Censored Demand Data | 第95-97页 |
| ·Traditional Normal PD Algorithm | 第97-101页 |
| ·Proposed Gamma PD Algorithm | 第101-105页 |
| ·Proposed Weibull PD Algorithm | 第105-108页 |
| ·Proposed Exponential PD Algorithm | 第108-111页 |
| ·Proposed Poisson PD Algorithm | 第111-113页 |
| ·Extended PD Algorithm Based on Multi-Distribution Assumptions | 第113-115页 |
| Chapter 6 PR Models Based on Multi-Distribution Assumptions | 第115-150页 |
| ·Introduction | 第115-117页 |
| ·Using PR Models for Unconstraining Censored Demand Data | 第117-122页 |
| ·Traditional Normal PR Model | 第122-130页 |
| ·Proposed Gamma PR Model | 第130-138页 |
| ·Proposed Weibull PR Model | 第138-142页 |
| ·Proposed Exponential PR Model | 第142-146页 |
| ·Traditional Poisson PR Model | 第146-150页 |
| Chapter 7 Censored Data Problem Modeling and Simulation Methodology | 第150-173页 |
| ·Demand Censoring Mechanism Analysis | 第151-152页 |
| ·Censored Data Simulation | 第152-163页 |
| ·Demand Generation and Data Collection | 第153-156页 |
| ·Simulate Censoring of the Data | 第156-163页 |
| ·Simulation Validation | 第163-165页 |
| ·Details of Experiments Design | 第165-171页 |
| ·Factors and Treatments | 第165-168页 |
| ·Experimental Units | 第168页 |
| ·Performance Measurements | 第168-170页 |
| ·Number of Replications | 第170-171页 |
| ·Experiment Procedure | 第171-173页 |
| Chapter 8 Analysis and Comparison of Estimating Unconstrained Demand | 第173-284页 |
| ·Simulation Results for the Ignore Method | 第173-179页 |
| ·Simulation Results for the EM Algorithm | 第179-218页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Normal Distribution Assumption | 第179-191页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Gamma Distribution Assumption | 第191-201页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Combined Distribution Assumption | 第201-211页 |
| ·Comparison of EM Algorithm Based on Different Distribution | 第211-218页 |
| ·Simulation Results for the PD Algorithm | 第218-255页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Normal Distribution Assumption | 第218-228页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Gamma Distribution Assumption | 第228-239页 |
| ·Simulation Based on Combined Distribution Assumption | 第239-250页 |
| ·Comparison of PD Algorithm Based on Different Distribution | 第250-255页 |
| ·Simulation Results for the Extended EM Algorithm | 第255-266页 |
| ·Simulation Results for the Extended PD Algorithm | 第266-277页 |
| ·Comparison of Unconstraining Methods Performance | 第277-284页 |
| Chapter 9 Analysis and Comparison of Estimating Revenue Impacts | 第284-302页 |
| ·Revenue Performance of Ignore Method | 第285-286页 |
| ·Revenue Performance of EM Algorithm | 第286-289页 |
| ·Revenue Performance of PD Algorithm | 第289-291页 |
| ·Revenue Performance of Extended EM Algorithm | 第291-295页 |
| ·Revenue Performance of Extended PD Algorithm | 第295-298页 |
| ·Comparison of the Revenue Impact of Unconstraining Methods | 第298-302页 |
| Conclusion | 第302-307页 |
| 1.Conclusion | 第302-304页 |
| 2.Future Research Directions | 第304-305页 |
| 3.Implementation Issues | 第305-307页 |
| Acknowledgements | 第307-308页 |
| Reference | 第308-313页 |
| Publications during Graduate Years | 第313页 |