| Abstract | 第1-5页 |
| 详细摘要 | 第5-12页 |
| Chapter 1 ?ntroduct?on | 第12-20页 |
| ·The Research Background | 第12-13页 |
| ·The Research Purposes and S?gn?f?cances | 第13-15页 |
| ·Status of fore?gn research | 第15-18页 |
| ·Arrangement of Thes?s | 第18-20页 |
| Chapter 2 S?tuat?ons analys?s of exchange rate ?n Kazakhstan | 第20-38页 |
| ·Monetary reform ?n Kazakhstan | 第20-22页 |
| ·Float?ng and f?xed exchange rate | 第22-27页 |
| ·Advantages and D?sadvantages of f?xed and float?ng exchange rate | 第22-23页 |
| ·"What ?s best for RK: float?ng or f?xed exchange rate | 第23-26页 |
| ·Changes in policy on exchange rates influenced by the oil prices | 第26-27页 |
| ·The role of the exchange rate, monetary pol?cy | 第27-32页 |
| ·The macroeconom?c role of the exchange rate | 第27-30页 |
| ·Exchange rate reform and fore?gn trade pol?cy | 第30-32页 |
| ·Factors affect?ng exchange rate ?n Kazakhstan | 第32-34页 |
| ·The role of oil in the world economy and Kazakhstan | 第34-35页 |
| ·The mechanism of dependency of oil price on exchange rate | 第35-37页 |
| ·Summary | 第37-38页 |
| Chapter 3 Model and Methodology | 第38-51页 |
| ·Data source | 第38-40页 |
| ·The bas?c concepts and features of econometr?c models | 第40页 |
| ·Regress?on analys?s | 第40-47页 |
| ·Def?n?t?on of regress?on analys?s | 第41-42页 |
| ·L?near regress?on model to analyse relat?onsh?p between exchange rate and o?lpr?ce | 第42-43页 |
| ·Non-l?near regress?on model | 第43-45页 |
| ·The method of least squares | 第45-47页 |
| ·Def?n?t?on of the out of sample f?t and out of sample forecast | 第47页 |
| ·Feature scal?ng | 第47-48页 |
| ·Data Analys?s | 第48-49页 |
| ·Summary | 第49-51页 |
| Chapter 4 Results and D?scuss?on | 第51-62页 |
| ·Research models and d?scuss?on | 第51-60页 |
| ·L?m?tat?ons of the study | 第60页 |
| ·Summary | 第60-62页 |
| Conclus?on | 第62-63页 |
| References | 第63-67页 |
| Acknowledgements | 第67-69页 |
