| Dedication | 第1-4页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第4-5页 |
| 中文摘要 | 第5-6页 |
| 英文摘要 | 第6-7页 |
| Table of contents | 第7-9页 |
| Chapter Ⅰ -Introduction | 第9-19页 |
| 1．1 Background of the research | 第10-11页 |
| 1．2 Problems that Yugoslav shipping industry is facing | 第11-16页 |
| 1．2．1 Yugoslav shipping from the end of World War Ⅱ until 1990 | 第11-14页 |
| 1．2．2 Yugoslav shipping from the beginning of 1990 until the present | 第14-16页 |
| 1．3 Statement of problem and objective of study | 第16-17页 |
| 1．4 Research method for problem facilitation | 第17页 |
| 1．5 Structure of paper | 第17-19页 |
| Chapter Ⅱ -Overview of Jugooceanija shipping company | 第19-36页 |
| 2．1 General data and information | 第20-29页 |
| 2．1．1 Ships | 第22-24页 |
| 2．1．2 Cargoes | 第24-26页 |
| 2．1．3 Finances | 第26-28页 |
| 2．1．4 Human resources | 第28-29页 |
| 2．2 Main obstacles for further development | 第29-36页 |
| 2．2．1 The company's external obstacles | 第29-30页 |
| 2．2．2 The company's internal obstacles | 第30-36页 |
| Chapter Ⅲ -Market estimates as a strategy for continuing development | 第36-91页 |
| 3．1 The reason and importance for estimation of a market related to a shipping company | 第37-38页 |
| 3．2 What, why and how to do | 第38-40页 |
| 3．2．1 Techniques of forecasting to be used | 第39-40页 |
| 3．3 Predictions of seaborne trade in major dry bulk commodities and some minor dry bulk cargo | 第40-78页 |
| 3．3．1 Technique of simple exponential smoothing | 第41-42页 |
| 3．3．2 Technique of double exponential smoothing | 第42-43页 |
| 3．3．3 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in iron ore | 第43-49页 |
| 3．3．4 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in coal | 第49-53页 |
| 3．3．5 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in grain | 第53-57页 |
| 3．3．6 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in bauxite and alumina | 第57-61页 |
| 3．3．7 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in phosphates | 第61-64页 |
| 3．3．8 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in steel products | 第64-68页 |
| 3．3．9 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in forest products | 第68-72页 |
| 3．3．10 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in cement | 第72-75页 |
| 3．3．11 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in sugar | 第75-78页 |
| 3．4 Forecast of world dry bulk carriers' fleets growth | 第78-91页 |
| 3．4．1 Regression analysis as a method for prediction of bulk fleets' growth | 第78-80页 |
| 3．4．2 Forecast of world Capesize fleet growth | 第80-82页 |
| 3．4．3 Forecast of world Panamax fleet growth | 第82-85页 |
| 3．4．4 Forecast of world Handymax fleet growth | 第85-88页 |
| 3．4．5 Forecast of world Handysize fleet growth | 第88-91页 |
| Chapter Ⅳ -Current state of the market in the light of developing strategy for Jugooceanija shipping company | 第91-107页 |
| 4．1 Introduction | 第92-93页 |
| 4．2 Recent state in dry bulk carriers fleet market | 第93-98页 |
| 4．3 Current position of dry bulk carriers fleets | 第98-107页 |
| 4．3．1 Capesize fleet | 第98-101页 |
| 4．3．2 Panamax fleet | 第101-103页 |
| 4．3．3 Handymax/size fleet | 第103-107页 |
| Chapter Ⅴ -Final prospects for further direction of fleet development pertaining to Jugooceanija shipping company | 第107-126页 |
| 5．1 Bulk sector-the major resort for company operations | 第108-117页 |
| 5．1．1 Capesize sector | 第109-111页 |
| 5．1．2 Panamax sector | 第111-113页 |
| 5．1．3 Handy sector | 第113-117页 |
| 5．2 Handymax advantages from the company's point of view | 第117-120页 |
| 5．2．1 Advantageous types of vessels | 第118-120页 |
| 5．3 Financial issue regarding fleet's renewal | 第120-126页 |
| 5．3．1 Criteria for financing from external sources | 第122-123页 |
| 5．3．2 Possible sources of financing for Jugooceanija shipping company | 第123-126页 |
| Chapter Ⅵ -Summary & Conclusion | 第126-130页 |
| Summary | 第127页 |
| Conclusion | 第127-130页 |
| References | 第130-131页 |
| Bibliography and web sites | 第131-133页 |
