| 摘要 | 第4-7页 |
| Abstract(In English) | 第7页 |
| Chapter 1 Introduction | 第10-23页 |
| 1.1 Central Bank of Russian Federation(CBR) | 第10-16页 |
| 1.1.1 History | 第10-11页 |
| 1.1.2 Main objectives, activities and functions of CBR | 第11-14页 |
| 1.1.3 Concept, objectives and forms of monetary policy | 第14-16页 |
| 1.2 Russian financial crisis 2014-2016 | 第16-18页 |
| 1.3 Problem statement, research questions and objectives | 第18-19页 |
| 1.4 Review of literature | 第19-23页 |
| 1.4.1 Literature review abroad | 第19页 |
| 1.4.2 Literature review at home | 第19-20页 |
| 1.4.3 Analysis of literature review at home and abroad | 第20-23页 |
| Chapter 2 Theoretical background and research methodology | 第23-35页 |
| 2.1 Main instruments and methods of monetary policy | 第23-27页 |
| 2.1.1 Definition | 第23页 |
| 2.1.2 Characteristics of the main instruments and methods of monetary policy | 第23-25页 |
| 2.1.3 Methods of regulating the monetary sphere | 第25-27页 |
| 2.2 Exchange rates | 第27-29页 |
| 2.2.1 Exchange rates definition | 第27-28页 |
| 2.2.2 Exchange rates characteristics | 第28-29页 |
| 2.3 Interest rate | 第29-33页 |
| 2.3.1 Interest rate definition | 第29-30页 |
| 2.3.2 Factors influencing interest rate | 第30-31页 |
| 2.3.3 Reasons for interest rate changes | 第31-33页 |
| 2.4 Vector autoregressive model | 第33-35页 |
| 2.4.1 Introduction | 第33页 |
| 2.4.2 Selection of the model | 第33-35页 |
| Chapter 3 Monetary policy of central bank of Russian Federation | 第35-54页 |
| 3.1 Analysis data of monetary policy of the CBR | 第35-50页 |
| 3.1.1 Implementation of monetary policy in 2014-2016 | 第35-40页 |
| 3.1.2 Analysis of the monetary policy of the central bank of Russian federation | 第40-46页 |
| 3.1.3 Instruments of monetary policy and their use for 2016 | 第46-50页 |
| 3.2 Results of the analysis date of monetary policy of the CBR | 第50-52页 |
| 3.2.1 Monetary policy principles for the medium-term perspective | 第50-51页 |
| 3.2.2 Quantitative targets of monetary policy and monetary program for 2017-2019 | 第51-52页 |
| 3.3 Summary of the chapter | 第52-54页 |
| Chapter 4 Empirical Analysis of the monetary policy of the central bank of the Russian Federation | 第54-63页 |
| 4.1 Data selection and processing | 第54页 |
| 4.1.1 Monetary policy tools | 第54页 |
| 4.1.2 Macroeconomic variables | 第54页 |
| 4.2 Model establishment and inspection | 第54-59页 |
| 4.2.1 Unit root test | 第55-56页 |
| 4.2.2 Model establishment | 第56-57页 |
| 4.2.3 Model stability test | 第57-59页 |
| 4.3 Impulse response analysis | 第59-62页 |
| 4.3.1 Promote the effect of economic growth | 第59-60页 |
| 4.3.2 The effect of managing inflation | 第60-61页 |
| 4.3.3 The effect of stabilizing foreign trade | 第61页 |
| 4.3.4 Stabilize the exchange rate policy effect | 第61-62页 |
| 4.4 chapter summary | 第62-63页 |
| Conclusion | 第63-65页 |
| References | 第65-68页 |
| Appendix 1 | 第68-72页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第72-73页 |
| Resume | 第73页 |
