| 摘要 | 第5-7页 |
| ABSTRACT | 第7-8页 |
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS | 第9-15页 |
| CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION | 第15-19页 |
| 1.1. Research background | 第15-17页 |
| 1.2. Research Objectives | 第17页 |
| 1.3. Key Questions | 第17页 |
| 1.4 Thesis Structure | 第17-19页 |
| CHAPTER 2: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE | 第19-34页 |
| 2.1. Definition and Concepts of Climate change and livelihood | 第19-21页 |
| 2.2. Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture | 第21-22页 |
| 2.3. Approaches to climate change impact, adaptation and vulnerability assessment | 第22-24页 |
| 2.4 Livelihood Vulnerability to climate change | 第24-27页 |
| 2.5. Economic impact of climate change assessment | 第27-31页 |
| 2.5.1 Economy-wide models | 第27-28页 |
| 2.5.2. Partial equilibrium models | 第28-31页 |
| 2.6 Perception to climate change | 第31-32页 |
| 2.7. Coping and adaptation to climate change | 第32-34页 |
| CHAPTER 3: STUDY AREA AND RESEARCH DESIGN | 第34-42页 |
| 3.1. Description of the Study area | 第34-39页 |
| 3.1.1. Location of the study area | 第34-35页 |
| 3.1.2. Biophysical conditions | 第35页 |
| 3.1.3. Socio-economic characteristic | 第35-38页 |
| 3.1.4. Agricultural produce | 第38-39页 |
| 3.2. An overview of climate change in Northwestern Vietnam | 第39-40页 |
| 3.3. Research Design | 第40-42页 |
| CHAPTER 4. LIVELIHOOD VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE INNORTHWESTERN VIETNAM | 第42-61页 |
| 4.1. Introduction | 第42-43页 |
| 4.2. Methodology | 第43-52页 |
| 4.2.1 Sampling and data collection | 第43-44页 |
| 4.2.2. Data analysis | 第44-51页 |
| 4.2.4. Calculating the LEI | 第51-52页 |
| 4.3. Results | 第52-57页 |
| 4.4. Discussion | 第57-61页 |
| CHAPTER 5: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON SMALLHOLDER’SCROP PRODUCTION IN NORTHWEST VIETNAM: A RICARDIAN APPROACH | 第61-76页 |
| 5.1. Introduction | 第61-62页 |
| 5.2. Methodology | 第62-66页 |
| 5.3. Data collection | 第66-68页 |
| 5.4. Results | 第68-72页 |
| 5.4.1. Regression estimates | 第68-70页 |
| 5.4.2. Marginal Impacts of Climate on Agricultural Revenue and Elasticity | 第70-71页 |
| 5.4.3. Forecasts of Climate Impacts on Agriculture in Northwest Vietnam | 第71-72页 |
| 5.5. Discussion | 第72-76页 |
| CHAPTER 6: FARMERS’ PERCEPTIONS EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ONLIVELIHOODS IN THE NORTHWEST REGION OF VIETNAM | 第76-99页 |
| 6.1. Introduction | 第76-77页 |
| 6.2. Conceptual framework and methodology | 第77-83页 |
| 6.2.1. Model specification | 第77-79页 |
| 6.2.2. Marginal effects and partial elasticities | 第79-80页 |
| 6.2.3. Explanatory variables | 第80-82页 |
| 6.2.4 Sampling and data collection | 第82-83页 |
| 6.3. Results and discussions | 第83-99页 |
| 6.3.1. Farmers’ Perceptions of Climate Changes | 第83-89页 |
| 6.3.2. Farmers’ Adaptation Analysis | 第89-99页 |
| CHAPTER 7: SUMMARY AND SOME POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS | 第99-108页 |
| 7.1. Summary of research | 第99-103页 |
| 7.1.1. Vulnerability of farm household to climate change | 第99-101页 |
| 7.1.2. The economic impact of climate change on household revenue | 第101-102页 |
| 7.1.3. Farmers perception and adaptation to climate change | 第102-103页 |
| 7.2. Policy implications, limitations and future research | 第103-108页 |
| 7.2.1. Policy implications | 第103-105页 |
| 7.2.2. Thesis limitations and future research | 第105-108页 |
| APPENDIX A. Questionnaire for Household Survey (English version) | 第108-114页 |
| APPENDIX B: Marginal effect and elasticity calculations | 第114-116页 |
| APPENDIX C: Supplement Table | 第116-123页 |
| REFERENCES | 第123-133页 |
| Author profile | 第133页 |
