| Abstract | 第4页 |
| 摘要 | 第6-14页 |
| Chapter 1 Introduction | 第14-24页 |
| 1.1 Research background and meaning of the subject | 第14-15页 |
| 1.2 The research purposes and significances | 第15-17页 |
| 1.3 Reviewing of previous researches at foreign and domestic levels | 第17-22页 |
| 1.4 Arrangement of Thesis | 第22-24页 |
| Chapter 2 Theoretical analysis of the international oil price fluctuations in Russian economy | 第24-43页 |
| 2.1 International oil price fluctuations and GDP | 第24-27页 |
| 2.2 The international oil price fluctuations and balance of foreign trade | 第27-29页 |
| 2.3 International oil price volatility and changes in inflation | 第29-32页 |
| 2.4 International oil prices fluctuations and changes in balance of payments | 第32-36页 |
| 2.5 The role of oil in the world economy and Russian Federation | 第36-41页 |
| 2.6 Chapter Summary | 第41-43页 |
| Chapter 3 Empirical study of the impact of international oil price on the Russian Economy | 第43-56页 |
| 3.1 Data selection and processing | 第43-45页 |
| 3.2 Empirical results with analysis | 第45-55页 |
| 3.2.1 Stationary testing | 第45-46页 |
| 3.2.2 Granger causality test | 第46-49页 |
| 3.2.3 VAR model | 第49-51页 |
| 3.2.4 Impulse response | 第51-53页 |
| 3.2.5 Variance decomposition | 第53-55页 |
| 3.3 Chapter Summary | 第55-56页 |
| Chapter 4 Recommendations | 第56-66页 |
| 4.1 Improving of right-oil value-added products and continue to optimize the energy sector | 第56-57页 |
| 4.2 Establishment of an effective regulatory mechanism to curb rent-seeking activities and bureaucratic corruption | 第57-62页 |
| 4.3 Optimizing of economic structure and to achieve transition from resource-based to innovation economy | 第62-65页 |
| 4.4 Chapter Summary | 第65-66页 |
| Conclusion | 第66-68页 |
| References | 第68-73页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第73页 |
