| 摘要 | 第4-9页 |
| Abstract | 第9-14页 |
| CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION | 第23-32页 |
| 1.1 Background, Statement of Problem and its Significance | 第23-26页 |
| 1.2 Literature Review | 第26-28页 |
| 1.3 Plan and Methodology of the Study | 第28-29页 |
| 1.4 Advantages and Limitations of the Study | 第29-32页 |
| CHAPTER 2: THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK, VARIABLE CONSTRUCTION, AND METHODOLOGY | 第32-48页 |
| 2.1 Theoretical Framework | 第32-39页 |
| 2.2 Variables Construction and Methodology | 第39-48页 |
| 2.2.1 H1: Economic Competitiveness of the World’s Central Economy Causing Economic Globalization | 第39-43页 |
| 2.2.2 H2: Economic Globalization Causing Economic Competitiveness of World’s Central Economy | 第43-45页 |
| 2.2.3 H3: US Economic Competitiveness Will Decrease in Future? | 第45-48页 |
| CHAPTER 3: COMPONENTS AND DEBATE OF IMS REFORM | 第48-83页 |
| 3.1 Evolution of Money and IMS | 第48-55页 |
| 3.1.1 Barter System Era (Ancient Times—5000BC) | 第49页 |
| 3.1.2 Era of Raw Precious Items (5000BC—700BC) | 第49页 |
| 3.1.3 Gold and Silver Coins Era (700BC—960AD) | 第49-50页 |
| 3.1.4 Bimetallism Era (960—1873) | 第50-51页 |
| 3.1.5 Gold Standard Era (1873—1914) | 第51页 |
| 3.1.6 Gold Exchange Standard era (1914-1944) | 第51页 |
| 3.1.7 Dollar-Gold Exchange Standard Era (1944-1971) | 第51-52页 |
| 3.1.8 Dollar Standard Era (1971—1973) | 第52-53页 |
| 3.1.9 Floating Exchange Rates Era (1973--) | 第53-55页 |
| 3.2 Functions of IMS | 第55页 |
| 3.2.1. To prevent the disruption of foreign exchanges | 第55页 |
| 3.2.2. To facilitate the balanced growth of international trade | 第55页 |
| 3.3 Problems of the Present International Monetary System | 第55-58页 |
| 3.3.1. Lack of an International Unit of Account | 第55页 |
| 3.3.2. Lack of an Anchor for Currency Stabilization | 第55-56页 |
| 3.3.3. Wild Swings of Major Exchange Rates | 第56页 |
| 3.3.4. Wild Swings of Raw Material Prices | 第56页 |
| 3.3.5. Reserves Dominated by Risky Dollar Assets | 第56页 |
| 3.3.6. Open-Ended Levels of Total Reserves | 第56页 |
| 3.3.7. Incoherent Leadership | 第56-58页 |
| 3.4 Institutions for IMS Reform | 第58-66页 |
| 3.4.1 IMF | 第58-61页 |
| 3.4.2 GX (G7, G8, G20) | 第61-63页 |
| 3.4.3 The World Bank Group | 第63-64页 |
| 3.4.4 The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) | 第64-65页 |
| 3.4.5 The Financial Stability Board (FSB) | 第65-66页 |
| 3.5 Major Reserve Currencies and Economies | 第66-72页 |
| 3.5.1 US Dollar and United States | 第66-67页 |
| 3.5.2 Euro and EEMU | 第67-70页 |
| 3.5.3 IMF SDR | 第70-72页 |
| 3.6 Debate of IMS Reform | 第72-83页 |
| 3.6.1 Globalized International Monetary System (GIMS) | 第72-80页 |
| 3.6.2 Regionalized International Monetary System (RIMS) | 第80-82页 |
| 3.6.3 Conclusion of the Debate of IMS Reform | 第82-83页 |
| CHAPTER 4: EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION | 第83-107页 |
| 4.1 H1: Economic Competitiveness of the World’s Central Economy Causes Economic Globalization | 第83-92页 |
| 4.1.1 Correlation Analysis | 第83-84页 |
| 4.1.2 Unit Root Test | 第84-85页 |
| 4.1.3 Cointegration Test | 第85-86页 |
| 4.1.4 Long Run Results of ARDL Model | 第86-90页 |
| 4.1.5 ECM Estimates for ECWCE and Economic Globalization | 第90-92页 |
| 4.2 H2: Economic Globalization Causes Economic Competitiveness of the World’s Central Economy | 第92-103页 |
| 4.2.1 Correlation Analysis | 第92-93页 |
| 4.2.2 Unit Root Test | 第93页 |
| 4.2.3 Cointegration Test | 第93-95页 |
| 4.2.4 Long Run Results of ARDL Model | 第95-99页 |
| 4.2.5 ECM Estimates for Economic Globalization and ECWCE | 第99-103页 |
| 4.3 Overall Discussion | 第103-107页 |
| CHAPTER 5: SCENARIO PLANNING FOR IMS LEADERSHIP (H3) | 第107-129页 |
| 5.1 Scenario Planning of Competitive Economic Position of EZ, US, and China | 第109-127页 |
| 5.1.1 Debt and Liquidity Scenario | 第109-112页 |
| 5.1.2 GDP Scenario | 第112-115页 |
| 5.1.3 Budget Scenario | 第115-118页 |
| 5.1.4 International Trade Scenario | 第118-120页 |
| 5.1.5 Population and Labor Force Scenario | 第120-122页 |
| 5.1.6 Productivity Scenario | 第122-123页 |
| 5.1.7 Employment, Inflation Interest Rates, and National Savings Scenario | 第123-126页 |
| 5.1.8 Overall Future Scenario of Economic Competitiveness | 第126-127页 |
| 5.2 Overall Analysis of Sino-US Competitive Position | 第127-129页 |
| CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS | 第129-134页 |
| 6.1 Conclusion | 第129-130页 |
| 6.2 Policy Recommendations | 第130-133页 |
| 6.2.1 Encouraging Innovative Suggestions | 第131页 |
| 6.2.2 Designing of IMS in Consideration of Present as well as Future Requirements | 第131-132页 |
| 6.2.3 Designing of IMS without Political Involvement | 第132页 |
| 6.2.4 Redesigning Global Infrastructure to Make Global Decisions | 第132-133页 |
| 6.3 Suggestion for Further Study | 第133-134页 |
| References | 第134-143页 |
| Acknowledgement | 第143-144页 |
| 附件 | 第144-146页 |
